The election results of five state assemblies have been declared, Congress retained Delhi and Mizoram and a surprise victory in Rajasthan and Bharatiya Janata Party retained Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. These elections were touted as a referendum or the semi-finals prelude to parliamentary elections due in March 2009.
Many observers, media houses, exit polls and psephologists are taken back by the outcome of the results. some channels were even running a ticker with a statement such as surprise victory for congress in Delhi and Rajasthan. As lot of intellectual folks, media guys, spokes person of few national parties both from the ruling and opposition and bureaucrats were expecting a clean sweep for BJP party in four states at least.
Well, the elections happened in midst of a worst terrorist attacks our country has been subjected to and specially MP and Delhi went for an election during this phase. The results show that both the states have given a verdict for the ruling party, Congress in Delhi and BJP in Madhya Pradesh. which clearly shows that voters are not effected by incidents such as Inflation, Church attacks in Orissa, Amarnath Land issue in Kashmir.
The important factor here is we need to look at how election are conducted rather than sitting in our studious and decoding what the voter is thinking or which party he is to vote. The human psyche is very funny thing and trying to unlock it is trying to guess whatz on your girls mind. People vote for certain parties based on their own local political calculation rather than some incidents happening at national level or what the electronic media portrays or the daily newspapers print or the blog we post. The reason is little strange, i know but accept it because the people who religiously go out and vote are not the people who read newspapers or watch our talk shows on news channels but they are common villagers and who are the deciding factors for any election outcomes. Though, some of my folks would argue on Bangalore having 28 urban constituencies after the delimitation and they were the deciding factors, but justgiving an URBAN tag doesn't mean they are Urban. The voters and the candidates were still the same only with a different tag called Urban. That is one of the few reasons certain candidates keep winning the election from a particular constituency ir-respective of what happens at the state or national level. They are fully insulated from things like Inflation, terror attacks etc..
We being in Fourth-estate or F....estate shouldn't go overboard and start predicting elections and later report as surprise victories for certain states and so on. It would be nice if we could stick to our reporting abilities as we have Lok sabha elections due in March 2009 and it would be suicidal to predict the outcomes. So it is wise enough to leave the citizens do their job and let them cast their vote peacefully and please all of you reading this should make an effort to go to the nearest polling booth and cast your votes. Lastly, Lok Sabha election will be a feast to watch out as we are heading towards a phase where the world is willing to listen to our views and comments and take us seriously.